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1. I know Wizard of Odds said he personally certified the Blackjack at Bodog/Bovada to be fair, but is that just a win/loss percentage check after x hands?
2. Is the outcome of the hand predetermined by the pRNG? Meaning, it wouldn't matter how the hand is played if action is taken without busting, the winner is already known.
Seems to me you could pass the pRNG test for hands won/loss, but adjust or force outcomes on premium double down hands to make the blackjack 'handicapped' over long term.
Also:
- Yes I know this has been beaten to death, but I feel like analytically I am digging a little deeper here.
- Yes I play in land based casinos all the time and I realize online you are seeing many times over the number of hands you could see live.
- Yes I know it is not to Bovada's advantage to offer a game that is 'rigged'. However, it is definitely to their advantage to ensure their system cannot be beaten.
- Yes I know its a continuous shuffle, and card counting doesn't apply.
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First, you'll need to post your data so that it can be analyzed and real numbers tests, such as what you're saying with the streaks/etc can be determined.
Next, your data will be questioned unless it's a video log of your screen while you play. People with grievances or whatever could/would fudge some of the numbers and possibly give bovada a scare, reputation hit, or whatever.
After getting a large, untamperable, sampling size then the real math can be worked on and proven/disproved. Until then I can agree with you all day but it won't actually account for much or mean anything unfortunately =/. You do seem like you have a fairly good idea of things too.
Administrator
A couple of random thoughts. If the win/loss/tie percentage is right on expectation, I'm not sure how much interest there would be in the journey, as far as crunching the numbers/labor cost. However, there have been member requests before for large data files of hands from a consistent source, and it might be very much appreciated if you shared yours. Hold off on doing that for the moment, though; it's just a thought.
Is the outcome of the hand predetermined by the pRNG?
No. What's random is how the cards are drawn. Depending on how it's programmed, either the entire virtual deck is shuffled randomly and then the cards are drawn off the top (which is CPU-intensive), or the cards are drawn randomly from an unshelled deck (which is much faster and simpler, and how I do it when I program simulations).
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Administrator
No. What's random is how the cards are drawn. Depending on how it's programmed, either the entire virtual deck is shuffled randomly and then the cards are drawn off the top (which is CPU-intensive), or the cards are drawn randomly from an unshelled deck (which is much faster and simpler, and how I do it when I program simulations).
What is an 'unshelled deck'?
What is an 'unshelled deck'?
I think he means un-shuffled, imagine 13 cards in order (obv theres more than 13 in a deck), if the RNG picks 8 it equals an 8, 13 = K and so on.
In my programming I shuffle the deck and draw off the top, in theory its the same thing, but I like to mimic real life as much as possible.
Administrator
One thing I thought would be interesting is what if they made the win/loss %'s correct, but as the OP said the streaks are horrific (in both directions) so that you have losing streaks you simply can't sustain. That would keep the %'s correct but still be a 'rigged' game.
It occurs to me that if the overall medium term win/lose ratio is correct, but that they bias it towards player losing on high value hands, then wouldn't they have to counter balance that by rigging to pay out a larger proportion of hands where stakes are low? Wouldn't that give small scale betters an advantage.
Or do they do like VW and only un-rig it for audits.
Because we will probably never get in enough big bets to prove anything a side bet will have to do. I don't believe counting the % of winning hands VS losing hands is a valid test, especially flat betting small amounts. 
I always had a significant amount of disproportional big bets lose. For instance. Lets say I'm playing .50 VP then suddenly I decide to play a $100 hand of BJ. You guessed it, I have NEVER won a hand doing that. When betting small $1-$5 It seems to play 'normal' of course you eventually lose. Anytime I have ever played bigger bets I go on the most horrible runs ever.
You use YOUR money to play.
You play a series of $1 bets, at some point I'll ask you to jump your bet to $100+.
I'll make you a side bet (my bet is that you will lose) and give you odds for an amount that puts you at a 1.5% advantage on each hand.
Anyone can quit wherever they wish.
Administrator
Whomever thinks this RTG BJ software is 100% random I have a +EV betting situation for you.
I'll make you a side bet (my bet is that you will lose) and give you odds for an amount that puts you at a 1.5% advantage on each hand.
Anyone can quit wherever they wish.
You must be pretty convinced it's VERY gaffed to offer that wager. I'll pass.
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When you’re playing Online blackjack it’s important to follow a number of Basic Blackjack Tips and uncomplicated rules. Once you go by these simple guidelines you will be able to win more. More so, you could lessen the house`s chances which in turn allows you an improved chance of exiting the gambling venue with a bit of their cash. That`s if you do not try your hand at something else before you leave the entrance door. Using a Bovada Bonus Code allows you to increase your bankroll which increases your chances of winning. Check out some of the Blackjack games at Bovada
Basic Blackjack Tips : If You Have
A nine or weaker
Hit, which in Blackjack is to take one more card. You can continue to do so till you either stand or bust. In order to show the dealer you want to hit tap the table with a finger or just click hit if playing blackjack online.
Ten or eleven
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Double down if your cards add up to higher than the dealer’s up-card. Should you think you need one but just one more card then you can double your bet and then be given one extra card; good or awful you are stuck with the resulting hand. To signify you wish to double down place another bet next to your first wager of the same amount.
Basic Blackjack Tips for Twelve
Hit, when the dealer’s up-card is 2, 3, 7 or higher. Stand, when the up-card is not good for the dealer (4, 5, 6).
Thirteen to sixteen
Hit, when the dealer’s up-card is good. Stand when the up-card is not good for the dealer (2, 3, 4, 5, 6).
Basic Blackjack Tips for Seventeen or stronger
Stand, which means not to draw any more cards. The chances of improving your hand without busting are slim so it’s not worth the risk. To symbol you wish to stand wave up your hand over the blackjack table. With Soft hands, things alter a little. A soft hand comprises of each hand that makes use of an Ace as an 11 and not as a one, so a “Soft 17” is comprised of an ace card & a six. The chances of winning on 17 are fairly slim so it’s wise to hit to try and improve your hand.
Pairs in Blackjack and When to Split
If your initial 2 cards are a pair (2 face cards and/or a ten along with a face-card are also considered pairs) you could split them into a couple of hands. In this event each card is considered the initial card of a new hand. You must also put down one more stake of equal worth to the primary wager for the second hand you’re betting on. In most online blackjack games, you may most of the time split again when another splitting chance arises, but it depends on the rules. To show you want to split put the additional wager a few inches to the side of the original bet.
- At all times split Aces and eights.
- Don't ever split tens, fours and fives.
- Split any other pairs when dealer's up-card is six and less.
Insurance Bet
Don't ever take insurance when playing blackjack. This is one of the most Basic Blackjack Tips. Card counters may make away with making good insurance bets while the card deck has plenty of 10s, though the regular blackjack participant would be wise to at all times to refuse this side bet.
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